Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.301404 1.573044 1.910118 2.367579 2.985929 3.813971e+00 5.045658
2025-01-19 0.915541 1.216893 1.645698 2.330864 3.463714 5.405458e+00 9.390132
2025-01-26 0.760658 1.083606 1.593287 2.523401 4.363315 8.399601e+00 20.520007
2025-02-02 0.652100 0.977106 1.531448 2.655676 5.249743 1.246247e+01 46.235424
2025-02-09 0.558977 0.867924 1.425158 2.648658 5.843023 1.681029e+01 100.805916
2025-02-16 0.482284 0.768596 1.306897 2.563211 6.188120 2.119366e+01 221.518587
2025-02-23 0.436446 0.714529 1.260629 2.622076 7.022614 3.004104e+01 845.259402
2025-03-02 0.404083 0.678897 1.242000 2.742255 8.213176 4.606421e+01 12539.343176
2025-03-09 0.370004 0.633847 1.192221 2.759220 9.069875 6.571506e+01 NaN
2025-03-16 0.333781 0.579044 1.109178 2.649425 9.294601 8.219473e+01 NaN
2025-03-23 0.315666 0.558431 1.100826 2.766647 10.829394 1.403737e+02 NaN
2025-03-30 0.295391 0.530377 1.068883 2.796398 11.988259 2.261320e+02 NaN
2025-04-06 0.271561 0.492414 1.007190 2.708230 12.384821 3.179509e+02 NaN
2025-04-13 0.252032 0.461702 0.959154 2.655420 13.037724 4.954393e+02 NaN
2025-04-20 0.245363 0.458498 0.982043 2.883233 16.463038 1.917882e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 0.236391 0.448866 0.985794 3.041233 19.903350 1.311435e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 0.223128 0.427730 0.953609 3.032676 21.677446 1.474584e+05 NaN
2025-05-11 0.208582 0.402111 0.904591 2.930200 22.134423 1.635588e+07 NaN
2025-05-18 0.200068 0.389978 0.892964 3.000744 25.421373 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.193976 0.382998 0.895465 3.145097 30.845373 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.185509 0.369325 0.875284 3.165508 34.398610 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.174559 0.348545 0.830027 3.033555 34.242093 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.169979 0.343289 0.833092 3.174447 41.943975 NaN NaN